Social Security’s trustees projected in 1983 that the recently enacted Social Security reforms would keep the program active for at least the next 75 years, through 2058. However, according to research by Rachel Greszler, a senior policy analyst at The Heritage Foundation, that approach date has accelerated.

“If the trend since 1983 continues, the program will become insolvent in 2024—34 years earlier than originally projected,” Greszler says.

Chart designed by John Fleming of The Heritage Foundation.

Chart designed by John Fleming of The Heritage Foundation.

For a deeper dive into this research, read this.

This post has been modified to reflect Rachel Greszler’s extensive research.