Morning Bell: Debunking the Iran NIE
Conn Carroll /
Throughout President Bush’s current Middle East trip, administration officials have had to quell confusion about how the December 3, 2007 National Intelligence Estimate on Iran’s nuclear program affects U.S. policy in the region. Already the report has undercut efforts to form “an international coalition to impose sanctions against Tehran” and Iran has used the report for its own propaganda purposes. Besides the great damage it has done to the containment of Iran’s regional dominance efforts, the report’s conclusions are just fundamentally flawed. Heritage Foundation Comprehensive Guide to What is Wrong with the NIE includes:
- The NIE uses a narrow definition of Iran’s nuclear weapons program that is so restrictive even officials from the Atomic Energy Agency have expressed disagreement with it’s conclusions.
- The NIE mistakenly assumes that weaponization of the warhead is the key aspect of Iran’s nuclear program.
- The NIE understates the importance of Iran’ ‘civilian’ uranium enrichment efforts to the development of nuclear weapons.
- The NIE does not address related military developments, such as Iran’s ballistic missile programs, some of which make little sense unless the missiles will be armed with nuclear warheads.
- The release of the NIE eases international pressure on Iran despite the fact that the NIE itself maintains that such pressure is critical to stopping the weapons program.
Update: RedState calls on Sens. Ensign, McConnell, and Kyl to investigate how the NIE reached its conclusions.
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